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Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan
Polymarket UFC 334: Gane vs Hokit · Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM EST
Prelims · LightweightLightweight: 146 to 155 lb (66 to 70 kg). Fighters weigh in the day before the fight and must make the limit. In non-title fights they get 1 lb of leeway; miss it and they usually forfeit part of their purse.
United States
29-15-0
41% by the odds · Underdog
“The Problem”
15-3-0
59% by the odds · Favorite
Tale of the Tape
- 38
- Age
- 33
- 5'8"
- Height
- 5'10"
- 70"
- ReachArm span, fingertip to fingertip.
- 71"
- Southpaw
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Elevation Fight Team
- Gym
- American Top Team
- 77% (better)
- Finish rateShare of pro wins that came by knockout or submission instead of the judges.
- 73%
- 2 wins
- StreakCurrent run of straight wins or losses (no contests skipped).
- –
- 99-46-1
- Last 5 opp. recordThe current pro records of their last 5 opponents, added together. Tougher opponents mean a bigger win total.
- 86-31-1 (better)
- 1772
- Power IndexUFCalendar's strength rating, built from every pro fight: beating strong opponents raises it, losing lowers it. The best in the UFC are around 2000.
- 1822 (better)
- 1747
- Last 5 opp. Power IndexAverage Power Index of their last 5 opponents. Higher means tougher competition.
- 1751 (better)
- 4.48
- Strikes landed/minSignificant strikes landed per minute of fight time.
- 4.83 (better)
- 4.33 (better)
- Strikes absorbed/minSignificant strikes taken per minute of fight time. Lower is better.
- 4.57
- 41%
- Striking accuracyShare of significant strikes thrown that land.
- 46% (better)
- 53% (better)
- Striking defenseShare of opponents' significant strikes that miss.
- 51%
- 0.61
- Takedowns/15 minTakedowns landed per 15 minutes of fight time.
- 2.92
- 58% (better)
- Takedown defenseShare of opponents' takedown attempts they stop.
- 56%
- 0.10
- Sub attempts/15 minSubmission attempts per 15 minutes of fight time.
- 0.60
Scouting Reports
How each fighter wins, how they're trending, and their style.
Drew Dober
- W
- W
- L
- L
- L
Bounced back: won 2 straight
Last 5, newest first.
- How They Win
- Dober is a finisher with a 77% finish rate. His wins come from 15 KO/TKOs, 9 submissions and 7 decisions. He puts people to sleep far more often than he taps them, and he rarely needs the scorecards.
- Recent Form
- Michael Johnson (25-20-0), win, KO/TKO in round 2. Kyle Prepolec (18-11-0), win, KO/TKO in round 3. Manuel Torres (17-4-0), loss, KO/TKO in round 1.
- Style
- Southpaw who lands 4.48 significant strikes a minute at 41% accuracy and absorbs 4.33. His striking defense sits at 53%. He rarely shoots, 0.61 takedowns per 15 minutes, and his takedown defense is 58%.
Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.
Chris Duncan
- L
- W
- W
- W
- W
Won 4 of last 5
Last 5, newest first.
- How They Win
- Duncan is a finisher. His wins come 7 by KO/TKO, 4 by submission and 4 by decision, a 73% finish rate. He lights people up first and taps them second.
- Recent Form
- Moicano (21-7-1) submitted him in round 2 of his latest fight, a loss. Before that, Duncan beat McKinney (18-9-0) by round 1 submission, then Rębecki (21-5-0) by unanimous decision.
- Style
- Orthodox. Lands 4.83 significant strikes a minute at 46% accuracy and absorbs 4.57, defending 51%. Attempts 2.92 takedowns per 15 minutes, landing 41%, and stops 56% of takedowns against him.
Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.
Line Movement
Chance the consensus line (average of 18 sportsbooks) implies, as of Nov 11, 12:50 PM EST.
Common Opponents
Fighters both have faced, from pro MMA records.
Renato Moicano
- Drew Dober
- Loss, Decision · Feb 2024
- Chris Duncan
- Loss, Submission, R2 · Apr 2026
Terrance McKinney
- Drew Dober
- Win, KO/TKO, R1 · Mar 2022
- Chris Duncan
- Win, Submission, R1 · Dec 2025
Manuel Torres
- Drew Dober
- Loss, KO/TKO, R1 · Mar 2025
- Chris Duncan
- Loss, Submission, R1 · Feb 2024