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Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan · Sat, Oct 10, 5:00 PM EDT

Prelims · LightweightLightweight: 146 to 155 lb (66 to 70 kg). Fighters weigh in the day before the fight and must make the limit. In non-title fights they get 1 lb of leeway; miss it and they usually forfeit part of their purse.

ResultFrancisco Prado won · KO/TKO · R1 · 4:23

Francisco Prado

Argentina

13-5-0

-160

59% by the odds · Favorite

Opened +103

Ismael Bonfim

“Marreta”

Brazil

20-8-0

+135

41% by the odds · Underdog

Opened -126

Tale of the Tape

24
Age
30
5'10"
Height
5'8"
69"
ReachArm span, fingertip to fingertip.
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
American Top Team
Gym
Bonfim Brothers
100% (better)
Finish rateShare of pro wins that came by knockout or submission instead of the judges.
65%
–
StreakCurrent run of straight wins or losses (no contests skipped).
4 losses
84-33
Last 5 opp. recordThe current pro records of their last 5 opponents, added together. Tougher opponents mean a bigger win total.
55-15-3 (better)
1719
Power IndexUFCalendar's strength rating, built from every pro fight: beating strong opponents raises it, losing lowers it. The best in the UFC are around 2000.
1746 (better)
1729
Last 5 opp. Power IndexAverage Power Index of their last 5 opponents. Higher means tougher competition.
1762 (better)
3.79
Strikes landed/minSignificant strikes landed per minute of fight time.
4.96 (better)
4.24
Strikes absorbed/minSignificant strikes taken per minute of fight time. Lower is better.
4.08 (better)
44%
Striking accuracyShare of significant strikes thrown that land.
54% (better)
54%
Striking defenseShare of opponents' significant strikes that miss.
62% (better)
1.08
Takedowns/15 minTakedowns landed per 15 minutes of fight time.
1.14
40%
Takedown defenseShare of opponents' takedown attempts they stop.
67% (better)
0.70
Sub attempts/15 minSubmission attempts per 15 minutes of fight time.
0.00

Scouting Reports

How each fighter wins, how they're trending, and their style.

Francisco Prado

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L

Back in the win column

Last 5, newest first.

How They Win
Prado is a pure finisher. His wins split 7 by KO/TKO, 6 by submission and 0 by decision, a 100% finish rate. He lights people out and taps them, and he doesn't live on the scorecards.
Recent Form
Most recent, Prado stopped Ismael Bonfim (20-8-0) with a first-round KO/TKO. Before that, he lost a unanimous decision to Charles Radtke (12-5-0), then a split decision to Nikolay Veretennikov (14-8-0).
Style
Orthodox at 5'10" with a 69" reach. Prado lands 3.68 significant strikes a minute at 44% accuracy, absorbs 4.31 a minute, and defends 54% of strikes. He attempts 0.76 takedowns per 15 minutes and stops 40% of opponents' attempts.

Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.

Ismael Bonfim

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W

Lost 4 straight

Last 5, newest first.

How They Win
Bonfim's record is 20-8-0. His wins come 9 by KO/TKO, 4 by submission and 7 by decision, a 65% finish rate. He puts people to sleep more than anything else.
Recent Form
Francisco Prado (13-5-0), loss, KO/TKO in round 1. Axel Sola (13-1-1), loss, submission in round 1. Chris Padilla (18-6-1), loss, KO/TKO in round 2.
Style
Orthodox volume striker, landing 5.1 significant strikes a minute at 54% accuracy while absorbing 3.96. He defends 63% of strikes and 77% of takedowns, and attempts 1.22 takedowns per 15 minutes.

Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.

Line Movement

Chance the consensus line (average of 18 sportsbooks) implies, as of Oct 11, 12:55 AM EDT.

0%50%100%Oct 2Oct 11
Francisco Prado+103 → -160 · 47% → 59%Ismael Bonfim-126 → +135 · 53% → 41%

They've Met Before

Francisco Prado's pageIsmael Bonfim's pageFull card