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Roque Conceição vs Alexander Chavez

Dana White's Contender Series 95 · Tue, Oct 6, 7:00 PM EDT

Main Card · FlyweightFlyweight: Up to 125 lb (57 kg). The lightest division. Fighters weigh in the day before the fight and must make the limit. In non-title fights they get 1 lb of leeway; miss it and they usually forfeit part of their purse.

ResultRoque Conceição won · Submission · R1 · 03:36

Roque Conceição

“Moreira Junior”

Brazil

12-3-0

-111

50% by the odds · Favorite

Opened +131

Alexander Chavez

“Penchia”

Peru

9-1-0

-108

50% by the odds · Underdog

Opened -162

Tale of the Tape

27
Age
26
5'5"
Height
5'5"
68"
ReachArm span, fingertip to fingertip.
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Revira Black Team
Gym
Pitbull Martial Arts Center
92% (better)
Finish rateShare of pro wins that came by knockout or submission instead of the judges.
67%
2 wins
StreakCurrent run of straight wins or losses (no contests skipped).
–
1708
Power IndexUFCalendar's strength rating, built from every pro fight: beating strong opponents raises it, losing lowers it. The best in the UFC are around 2000.
1729 (better)
2.78
Strikes landed/minSignificant strikes landed per minute of fight time.
3.59 (better)
3.55 (better)
Strikes absorbed/minSignificant strikes taken per minute of fight time. Lower is better.
6.08
54%
Striking accuracyShare of significant strikes thrown that land.
57% (better)
42%
Striking defenseShare of opponents' significant strikes that miss.
46% (better)
0.00
Takedowns/15 minTakedowns landed per 15 minutes of fight time.
4.15
1.40
Sub attempts/15 minSubmission attempts per 15 minutes of fight time.
0.00

Scouting Reports

How each fighter wins, how they're trending, and their style.

Roque Conceição

  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W

Bounced back: won 2 straight

Last 5, newest first.

How They Win
Conceição is a finisher with a 92% finish rate. His wins come from 8 KO/TKO, 3 submissions and 1 decision, so he puts people to sleep far more than he lives on the scorecards.
Recent Form
Most recent was a round 1 submission win over Alexander Chavez (9-1-0). Before that, a round 1 KO/TKO win over Yamato Fujita. Prior to that, a round 1 TKO loss to Imanol Rodríguez (8-0-0).
Style
Orthodox at 5'5" with a 68" reach. He lands 2.78 significant strikes a minute at 54% accuracy but absorbs 3.55 and defends 42%. No takedown attempts, 67% takedown defense, 1.4 submission attempts per 15 minutes.

Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.

Alexander Chavez

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W

Won 4 of last 5

Last 5, newest first.

How They Win
Chavez lights people up. His wins come 6 by KO/TKO, 3 by decision and 0 by submission, a 67% finish rate. Ends fights early with strikes rather than tapping anyone.
Recent Form
Conceição (11-3-0) made him tap in round 1, a loss. Before that, Neves by TKO in round 2, Gabriel by unanimous decision, and Xavier by TKO in round 2, all wins.
Style
Orthodox at 5'5" with a 66" reach. Lands 3.59 significant strikes a minute at 57% accuracy but absorbs 6.08, defending 46%. Averages 4.15 takedowns per 15 minutes, landing every attempt.

Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.

Line Movement

Chance the consensus line (average of 16 sportsbooks) implies, as of Oct 7, 2:55 AM EDT.

0%50%100%Oct 5Oct 7
Roque Conceição+131 → -111 · 41% → 50%Alexander Chavez-162 → -108 · 59% → 50%

They've Met Before

Roque Conceição's pageAlexander Chavez's pageFull card