Tips are voluntary and don't unlock picks.
Roque Conceição vs Alexander Chavez
Dana White's Contender Series 95 · Tue, Oct 6, 7:00 PM EDT
Main Card · FlyweightFlyweight: Up to 125 lb (57 kg). The lightest division. Fighters weigh in the day before the fight and must make the limit. In non-title fights they get 1 lb of leeway; miss it and they usually forfeit part of their purse.
ResultRoque Conceição won · Submission · R1 · 03:36
“Moreira Junior”
Brazil
12-3-0
50% by the odds · Favorite
Opened +131
“Penchia”
Peru
9-1-0
50% by the odds · Underdog
Opened -162
Tale of the Tape
- 27
- Age
- 26
- 5'5"
- Height
- 5'5"
- 68"
- ReachArm span, fingertip to fingertip.
- 66"
- Orthodox
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Revira Black Team
- Gym
- Pitbull Martial Arts Center
- 92% (better)
- Finish rateShare of pro wins that came by knockout or submission instead of the judges.
- 67%
- 2 wins
- StreakCurrent run of straight wins or losses (no contests skipped).
- –
- 1708
- Power IndexUFCalendar's strength rating, built from every pro fight: beating strong opponents raises it, losing lowers it. The best in the UFC are around 2000.
- 1729 (better)
- 2.78
- Strikes landed/minSignificant strikes landed per minute of fight time.
- 3.59 (better)
- 3.55 (better)
- Strikes absorbed/minSignificant strikes taken per minute of fight time. Lower is better.
- 6.08
- 54%
- Striking accuracyShare of significant strikes thrown that land.
- 57% (better)
- 42%
- Striking defenseShare of opponents' significant strikes that miss.
- 46% (better)
- 0.00
- Takedowns/15 minTakedowns landed per 15 minutes of fight time.
- 4.15
- 1.40
- Sub attempts/15 minSubmission attempts per 15 minutes of fight time.
- 0.00
Scouting Reports
How each fighter wins, how they're trending, and their style.
Roque Conceição
- W
- W
- L
- W
- W
Bounced back: won 2 straight
Last 5, newest first.
- How They Win
- Conceição is a finisher with a 92% finish rate. His wins come from 8 KO/TKO, 3 submissions and 1 decision, so he puts people to sleep far more than he lives on the scorecards.
- Recent Form
- Most recent was a round 1 submission win over Alexander Chavez (9-1-0). Before that, a round 1 KO/TKO win over Yamato Fujita. Prior to that, a round 1 TKO loss to Imanol Rodríguez (8-0-0).
- Style
- Orthodox at 5'5" with a 68" reach. He lands 2.78 significant strikes a minute at 54% accuracy but absorbs 3.55 and defends 42%. No takedown attempts, 67% takedown defense, 1.4 submission attempts per 15 minutes.
Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.
Alexander Chavez
- L
- W
- W
- W
- W
Won 4 of last 5
Last 5, newest first.
- How They Win
- Chavez lights people up. His wins come 6 by KO/TKO, 3 by decision and 0 by submission, a 67% finish rate. Ends fights early with strikes rather than tapping anyone.
- Recent Form
- Conceição (11-3-0) made him tap in round 1, a loss. Before that, Neves by TKO in round 2, Gabriel by unanimous decision, and Xavier by TKO in round 2, all wins.
- Style
- Orthodox at 5'5" with a 66" reach. Lands 3.59 significant strikes a minute at 57% accuracy but absorbs 6.08, defending 46%. Averages 4.15 takedowns per 15 minutes, landing every attempt.
Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.
Line Movement
Chance the consensus line (average of 16 sportsbooks) implies, as of Oct 7, 2:55 AM EDT.
They've Met Before
- Roque ConceiçãoWin, Submission, R1 · Oct 2026
