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Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs Evloev · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM EDT

Prelims · MiddleweightMiddleweight: 171 to 185 lb (78 to 84 kg). Fighters weigh in the day before the fight and must make the limit. In non-title fights they get 1 lb of leeway; miss it and they usually forfeit part of their purse.

ResultAbubakar Vagaev won · Decision - Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

Abubakar Vagaev

Russia

26-4-0

-220

65% by the odds · Favorite

Jacob Malkoun

“Mamba”

Australia

10-4-0

+170

35% by the odds · Underdog

Tale of the Tape

33
Age
31
5'11"
Height
5'9"
73"
ReachArm span, fingertip to fingertip.
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Akhmat Fight Club
Gym
Gracie Jiu-Jitsu Smeaton Grange
21%
Finish rateShare of pro wins that came by knockout or submission instead of the judges.
30% (better)
5 wins
StreakCurrent run of straight wins or losses (no contests skipped).
–
83-21 (better)
Last 5 opp. recordThe current pro records of their last 5 opponents, added together. Tougher opponents mean a bigger win total.
98-42-1
1803 (better)
Power IndexUFCalendar's strength rating, built from every pro fight: beating strong opponents raises it, losing lowers it. The best in the UFC are around 2000.
1680
1670
Last 5 opp. Power IndexAverage Power Index of their last 5 opponents. Higher means tougher competition.
1713 (better)
4.08
Strikes landed/minSignificant strikes landed per minute of fight time.
4.60 (better)
2.52 (better)
Strikes absorbed/minSignificant strikes taken per minute of fight time. Lower is better.
2.64
47%
Striking accuracyShare of significant strikes thrown that land.
56% (better)
51%
Striking defenseShare of opponents' significant strikes that miss.
54% (better)
3.14
Takedowns/15 minTakedowns landed per 15 minutes of fight time.
4.69
88% (better)
Takedown defenseShare of opponents' takedown attempts they stop.
52%
0.40
Sub attempts/15 minSubmission attempts per 15 minutes of fight time.
0.70

Scouting Reports

How each fighter wins, how they're trending, and their style.

Abubakar Vagaev

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W

On a 5-fight win streak

Last 5, newest first.

How They Win
Vagaev lives on the scorecards. Of his wins, 23 came by decision, 4 by KO/TKO and 2 by submission, for a 21% finish rate. He grinds out rounds rather than ending fights early.
Recent Form
Most recent, Vagaev beat Jacob Malkoun (10-3-0) by unanimous decision. Before that, he beat Saygid Izagakhmaev (22-4-0) by unanimous decision, then Albert Tumenov (24-7-0) by unanimous decision over five rounds.
Style
Orthodox stance. Vagaev lands 4.08 significant strikes a minute at 47% accuracy, absorbing 2.52 a minute with 51% defense. He averages 3.14 takedowns per 15 minutes and stops 88% of opposing takedowns.

Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.

Jacob Malkoun

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L

Won 3 of last 5

Last 5, newest first.

How They Win
Malkoun lives on the scorecards. His wins are 7 by decision, 3 by KO/TKO and 0 by submission, a 30% finish rate. He grinds out rounds, with the occasional lights-out finish.
Recent Form
Lost to Abubakar Vagaev (25-4-0) by unanimous decision. Beat Gerald Meerschaert (37-22-0) by unanimous decision. Beat Torrez Finney (11-1-0) by unanimous decision.
Style
Orthodox stance. Lands 4.6 significant strikes a minute at 56% accuracy, absorbs 2.64 a minute, and defends 54% of strikes. Shoots 4.69 takedowns per 15 minutes, lands 41%, and stops 52% of takedowns against him.

Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.

Line Movement

Chance the DraftKings moneyline implies, as of Oct 24, 11:30 AM EDT.

0%50%100%Oct 19Oct 24
Abubakar Vagaev-185 → -220 · 62% → 65%Jacob Malkoun+154 → +170 · 38% → 35%

They've Met Before

Abubakar Vagaev's pageJacob Malkoun's pageFull card