Menu
OverlyPaid
Show Sosa Some LoveLeave a Tip

Tips are voluntary and don't unlock picks.

Julian Erosa vs JeongYeong Lee

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan · Sat, Oct 31, 5:00 PM EDT

Prelims · FeatherweightFeatherweight: 136 to 145 lb (62 to 66 kg). Fighters weigh in the day before the fight and must make the limit. In non-title fights they get 1 lb of leeway; miss it and they usually forfeit part of their purse.

ResultJulian Erosa won · KO/TKO · R1 · 1:31

Julian Erosa

“Juicy J”

United States

32-14-0

+140

40% by the odds · Underdog

JeongYeong Lee

“Korean Tiger”

🎂 Turns 31 this week

South Korea

11-4-0

-169

60% by the odds · Favorite

Tale of the Tape

37
Age
30
6'1"
Height
5'10"
74"
ReachArm span, fingertip to fingertip.
73"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Xtreme Couture
Gym
Fight Ready
85% (better)
Finish rateShare of pro wins that came by knockout or submission instead of the judges.
64%
2 wins
StreakCurrent run of straight wins or losses (no contests skipped).
3 losses
80-30
Last 5 opp. recordThe current pro records of their last 5 opponents, added together. Tougher opponents mean a bigger win total.
91-28-1 (better)
1774 (better)
Power IndexUFCalendar's strength rating, built from every pro fight: beating strong opponents raises it, losing lowers it. The best in the UFC are around 2000.
1596
1720 (better)
Last 5 opp. Power IndexAverage Power Index of their last 5 opponents. Higher means tougher competition.
1714
6.22 (better)
Strikes landed/minSignificant strikes landed per minute of fight time.
3.26
6.31
Strikes absorbed/minSignificant strikes taken per minute of fight time. Lower is better.
4.01 (better)
48%
Striking accuracyShare of significant strikes thrown that land.
48%
49%
Striking defenseShare of opponents' significant strikes that miss.
51% (better)
1.72
Takedowns/15 minTakedowns landed per 15 minutes of fight time.
0.63
62%
Takedown defenseShare of opponents' takedown attempts they stop.
75% (better)
0.70
Sub attempts/15 minSubmission attempts per 15 minutes of fight time.
0.00

Scouting Reports

How each fighter wins, how they're trending, and their style.

Julian Erosa

  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W

Bounced back: won 2 straight

Last 5, newest first.

How They Win
Erosa is a finisher with an 84% finish rate: 13 KO/TKO wins, 14 submissions and 5 decisions. He puts people to sleep and taps them out in nearly equal measure, and he rarely needs the scorecards.
Recent Form
Most recently Erosa beat JeongYeong Lee (11-3-0) by first-round KO/TKO. Before that he lost to Lerryan Douglas (14-6-0) by first-round KO/TKO, and to Melquizael Costa (26-8-0) by unanimous decision.
Style
Erosa is a southpaw who lands 6.22 significant strikes a minute at 48% accuracy, but absorbs 6.31 a minute and defends 49%. He attempts 1.72 takedowns per 15 minutes and stops 62% of opponents' attempts.

Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.

JeongYeong Lee

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W

Lost 3 straight

Last 5, newest first.

How They Win
Lee's wins split 4 by KO/TKO, 3 by submission and 4 by decision, a 64% finish rate. He can put people to sleep or make them tap, and he's also gone the distance when needed.
Recent Form
Erosa (31-14-0) beat him by KO/TKO in round 1. Before that, Santos (14-3-0) took a unanimous decision. Amil (11-3-0) also stopped him in round 1. Lee's last win was a unanimous decision over Bilder (8-2-1).
Style
Orthodox, lands 3.26 significant strikes a minute at 48% accuracy but absorbs 4.01 a minute, with 51% striking defense. Averages 0.63 takedowns per 15 minutes, 75% takedown defense, and no submission attempts per 15.

Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.

Line Movement

Chance the consensus line (average of 18 sportsbooks) implies, as of Nov 1, 12:50 AM EDT.

0%50%100%Oct 25Nov 1
Julian Erosa+151 → +140 · 38% → 40%JeongYeong Lee-183 → -169 · 62% → 60%

They've Met Before

Julian Erosa's pageJeongYeong Lee's pageFull card