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Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan · Sat, Oct 31, 5:00 PM EDT
Main Event · LightweightLightweight: 146 to 155 lb (66 to 70 kg). Fighters weigh in the day before the fight and must make the limit. In non-title fights they get 1 lb of leeway; miss it and they usually forfeit part of their purse.
5 roundsResultTom Nolan won · KO/TKO · R3 · 1:28
#13 Lightweight
Brazil
21-8-1
52% by the odds · Favorite
“Big Train”
#12 Lightweight
Australia
12-1-0
48% by the odds · Underdog
Tale of the Tape
- 37
- Age
- 26
- 5'11"
- Height
- 6'3"
- 72"
- ReachArm span, fingertip to fingertip.
- 73"
- Orthodox
- Stance
- Southpaw
- American Top Team
- Gym
- Team Compton Training Centre
- 62% (better)
- Finish rateShare of pro wins that came by knockout or submission instead of the judges.
- 58%
- –
- StreakCurrent run of straight wins or losses (no contests skipped).
- 6 wins
- 96-17-1 (better)
- Last 5 opp. recordThe current pro records of their last 5 opponents, added together. Tougher opponents mean a bigger win total.
- 70-30-2
- 1771
- Power IndexUFCalendar's strength rating, built from every pro fight: beating strong opponents raises it, losing lowers it. The best in the UFC are around 2000.
- 1841 (better)
- 1848 (better)
- Last 5 opp. Power IndexAverage Power Index of their last 5 opponents. Higher means tougher competition.
- 1674
- 3.91
- Strikes landed/minSignificant strikes landed per minute of fight time.
- 5.03 (better)
- 3.69
- Strikes absorbed/minSignificant strikes taken per minute of fight time. Lower is better.
- 3.23 (better)
- 49%
- Striking accuracyShare of significant strikes thrown that land.
- 50% (better)
- 58% (better)
- Striking defenseShare of opponents' significant strikes that miss.
- 48%
- 1.80
- Takedowns/15 minTakedowns landed per 15 minutes of fight time.
- 1.12
- 63% (better)
- Takedown defenseShare of opponents' takedown attempts they stop.
- 53%
- 0.60
- Sub attempts/15 minSubmission attempts per 15 minutes of fight time.
- 1.10
Scouting Reports
How each fighter wins, how they're trending, and their style.
Renato Moicano
- L
- W
- L
- L
- W
Won 2 of last 5
Last 5, newest first.
- How They Win
- Moicano is a finisher who taps people. His wins by the numbers: 11 submissions, 8 decisions, 2 KO/TKO, for a 62% finish rate. Submissions are clearly his bread and butter.
- Recent Form
- Tom Nolan (11-1-0), loss, KO/TKO in round 3. Chris Duncan (15-3-0), win, submission in round 2. Beneil Dariush (23-8-1), loss, unanimous decision. Moicano is coming off a loss.
- Style
- Orthodox, 5'11" with a 72" reach. Lands 3.91 significant strikes a minute at 49% accuracy, absorbs 3.69 and defends 58%. Attempts 1.8 takedowns per 15 minutes at 42%, defends 63% of takedowns, and hunts submissions.
Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.
Tom Nolan
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
On a 5-fight win streak
Last 5, newest first.
- How They Win
- Nolan is a finisher at a 58% finish rate: 6 by KO/TKO, 1 by submission, 5 by decision. Knockouts are his most common way to win, so he puts people to sleep more than he taps them.
- Recent Form
- Nolan stopped Renato Moicano (21-7-1) in round 3 by KO/TKO. Before that he beat Farès Ziam (18-6-0) by unanimous decision, and Charlie Campbell (9-3-0) by round 1 submission.
- Style
- Southpaw, 6'3" with a 73" reach. He lands 5.03 significant strikes a minute at 50% accuracy, absorbs 3.23, and defends 48% of strikes. Takedowns: 1.12 per 15 minutes, with 53% takedown defense.
Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.
Line Movement
Chance the consensus line (average of 18 sportsbooks) implies, as of Nov 1, 12:50 AM EDT.
The line hasn't moved yet. A chart shows up here once it does.
They've Met Before
- Renato MoicanoLoss, KO/TKO, R3 · Oct 2026