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Jared Gordon vs Melquizael Costa

Polymarket UFC 334: Gane vs Hokit · Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM EST

Prelims · LightweightLightweight: 146 to 155 lb (66 to 70 kg). Fighters weigh in the day before the fight and must make the limit. In non-title fights they get 1 lb of leeway; miss it and they usually forfeit part of their purse.

Jared Gordon

“Flash”

United States

21-9-0

+288

25% by the odds · Underdog

Melquizael Costa

“The Dalmatian”

#12 Featherweight

Brazil

26-8-0

-376

75% by the odds · Favorite

Tale of the Tape

38
Age
30
5'9"
Height
5'10"
68"
ReachArm span, fingertip to fingertip.
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Kill Cliff FC
Gym
Chute Boxe - Joao Emilio
48%
Finish rateShare of pro wins that came by knockout or submission instead of the judges.
65% (better)
2 losses
StreakCurrent run of straight wins or losses (no contests skipped).
–
107-43 (better)
Last 5 opp. recordThe current pro records of their last 5 opponents, added together. Tougher opponents mean a bigger win total.
106-47-1
1726
Power IndexUFCalendar's strength rating, built from every pro fight: beating strong opponents raises it, losing lowers it. The best in the UFC are around 2000.
1764 (better)
1763 (better)
Last 5 opp. Power IndexAverage Power Index of their last 5 opponents. Higher means tougher competition.
1761
5.57 (better)
Strikes landed/minSignificant strikes landed per minute of fight time.
4.29
4.11
Strikes absorbed/minSignificant strikes taken per minute of fight time. Lower is better.
3.19 (better)
54% (better)
Striking accuracyShare of significant strikes thrown that land.
47%
55% (better)
Striking defenseShare of opponents' significant strikes that miss.
50%
1.91
Takedowns/15 minTakedowns landed per 15 minutes of fight time.
1.53
60% (better)
Takedown defenseShare of opponents' takedown attempts they stop.
51%
0.00
Sub attempts/15 minSubmission attempts per 15 minutes of fight time.
0.80

Scouting Reports

How each fighter wins, how they're trending, and their style.

Jared Gordon

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W

Lost 2 straight

Last 5, newest first.

How They Win
Gordon lives on the scorecards, with 11 decision wins, 8 by KO/TKO and 2 by submission. That puts his finish rate at 48%. He's a 21-9-0 lightweight who can end it with his hands.
Recent Form
Most recent, he lost to Jim Miller (39-19-0) by first-round submission. Before that, he lost to Rafa Garcia (19-5-0) by third-round KO/TKO. Before that, he beat Thiago Moises (19-10-0) by first-round KO/TKO.
Style
Orthodox volume striker, landing 5.57 significant strikes a minute at 54% accuracy while absorbing 4.11 a minute. He defends 55% of strikes and 60% of takedowns, and attempts 1.91 takedowns per 15 minutes at 35% accuracy.

Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.

Melquizael Costa

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W

Won 4 of last 5

Last 5, newest first.

How They Win
Costa mixes it up: 9 KO/TKO, 8 submissions and 9 decisions, a 65% finish rate. He puts people to sleep and taps them out in nearly equal measure, and he can also grind out rounds.
Recent Form
Most recent was a unanimous decision loss to Arnold Allen (21-4-0) that went five rounds. Before that, Costa won by first-round KO/TKO over Dan Ige (19-12-0), and by first-round KO/TKO over Morgan Charriere (21-13-1).
Style
Southpaw who lands 4.29 significant strikes a minute at 47% accuracy and absorbs 3.19, with 50% striking defense. He attempts 1.53 takedowns per 15 minutes at 35%, stops 51% of takedowns against him, and throws 0.8 submission attempts per 15.

Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.

Line Movement

Chance the consensus line (average of 18 sportsbooks) implies, as of Nov 11, 12:50 PM EST.

0%50%100%Nov 2Nov 11
Jared Gordon+299 → +288 · 24% → 25%Melquizael Costa-413 → -376 · 76% → 75%

Common Opponents

Fighters both have faced, from pro MMA records.

Jared Gordon's pageMelquizael Costa's pageFull card