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Jared Gordon vs Melquizael Costa
Polymarket UFC 334: Gane vs Hokit · Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM EST
Prelims · LightweightLightweight: 146 to 155 lb (66 to 70 kg). Fighters weigh in the day before the fight and must make the limit. In non-title fights they get 1 lb of leeway; miss it and they usually forfeit part of their purse.
“Flash”
United States
21-9-0
25% by the odds · Underdog
“The Dalmatian”
#12 Featherweight
Brazil
26-8-0
75% by the odds · Favorite
Tale of the Tape
- 38
- Age
- 30
- 5'9"
- Height
- 5'10"
- 68"
- ReachArm span, fingertip to fingertip.
- 71"
- Orthodox
- Stance
- Southpaw
- Kill Cliff FC
- Gym
- Chute Boxe - Joao Emilio
- 48%
- Finish rateShare of pro wins that came by knockout or submission instead of the judges.
- 65% (better)
- 2 losses
- StreakCurrent run of straight wins or losses (no contests skipped).
- –
- 107-43 (better)
- Last 5 opp. recordThe current pro records of their last 5 opponents, added together. Tougher opponents mean a bigger win total.
- 106-47-1
- 1726
- Power IndexUFCalendar's strength rating, built from every pro fight: beating strong opponents raises it, losing lowers it. The best in the UFC are around 2000.
- 1764 (better)
- 1763 (better)
- Last 5 opp. Power IndexAverage Power Index of their last 5 opponents. Higher means tougher competition.
- 1761
- 5.57 (better)
- Strikes landed/minSignificant strikes landed per minute of fight time.
- 4.29
- 4.11
- Strikes absorbed/minSignificant strikes taken per minute of fight time. Lower is better.
- 3.19 (better)
- 54% (better)
- Striking accuracyShare of significant strikes thrown that land.
- 47%
- 55% (better)
- Striking defenseShare of opponents' significant strikes that miss.
- 50%
- 1.91
- Takedowns/15 minTakedowns landed per 15 minutes of fight time.
- 1.53
- 60% (better)
- Takedown defenseShare of opponents' takedown attempts they stop.
- 51%
- 0.00
- Sub attempts/15 minSubmission attempts per 15 minutes of fight time.
- 0.80
Scouting Reports
How each fighter wins, how they're trending, and their style.
Jared Gordon
- L
- L
- W
- L
- W
Lost 2 straight
Last 5, newest first.
- How They Win
- Gordon lives on the scorecards, with 11 decision wins, 8 by KO/TKO and 2 by submission. That puts his finish rate at 48%. He's a 21-9-0 lightweight who can end it with his hands.
- Recent Form
- Most recent, he lost to Jim Miller (39-19-0) by first-round submission. Before that, he lost to Rafa Garcia (19-5-0) by third-round KO/TKO. Before that, he beat Thiago Moises (19-10-0) by first-round KO/TKO.
- Style
- Orthodox volume striker, landing 5.57 significant strikes a minute at 54% accuracy while absorbing 4.11 a minute. He defends 55% of strikes and 60% of takedowns, and attempts 1.91 takedowns per 15 minutes at 35% accuracy.
Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.
Melquizael Costa
- L
- W
- W
- W
- W
Won 4 of last 5
Last 5, newest first.
- How They Win
- Costa mixes it up: 9 KO/TKO, 8 submissions and 9 decisions, a 65% finish rate. He puts people to sleep and taps them out in nearly equal measure, and he can also grind out rounds.
- Recent Form
- Most recent was a unanimous decision loss to Arnold Allen (21-4-0) that went five rounds. Before that, Costa won by first-round KO/TKO over Dan Ige (19-12-0), and by first-round KO/TKO over Morgan Charriere (21-13-1).
- Style
- Southpaw who lands 4.29 significant strikes a minute at 47% accuracy and absorbs 3.19, with 50% striking defense. He attempts 1.53 takedowns per 15 minutes at 35%, stops 51% of takedowns against him, and throws 0.8 submission attempts per 15.
Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.
Line Movement
Chance the consensus line (average of 18 sportsbooks) implies, as of Nov 11, 12:50 PM EST.
Common Opponents
Fighters both have faced, from pro MMA records.
Thiago Moises
- Jared Gordon
- Win, KO/TKO, R1 · May 2025
- Melquizael Costa
- Loss, Submission, R2 · Jan 2023
TBA
- Jared Gordon
- Win, Decision · Jun 2013
- Melquizael Costa
- Win, TKO · Dec 2015
- Win, Decision · Mar 2014
