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Gabriel Lorenço vs Thomas Petersen
UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs Walker · Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 PM EST
Prelims · HeavyweightHeavyweight: 206 to 265 lb (93 to 120 kg). Fighters weigh in the day before the fight and must make the limit. In non-title fights they get 1 lb of leeway; miss it and they usually forfeit part of their purse.
ResultThomas Petersen won · KO/TKO · R3 · 4:47
“The Black Mamba”
Brazil
8-2-0
40% by the odds · Underdog
Opened +140
“The Train”
United States
12-5-0
60% by the odds · Favorite
Opened -169
Tale of the Tape
- 27
- Age
- 31
- 6'2"
- Height
- 6'1"
- 76"
- ReachArm span, fingertip to fingertip.
- 74"
- Orthodox
- Stance
- Southpaw
- Chute Boxe
- Gym
- Spartan MMA
- 88% (better)
- Finish rateShare of pro wins that came by knockout or submission instead of the judges.
- 75%
- –
- Last 5 opp. recordThe current pro records of their last 5 opponents, added together. Tougher opponents mean a bigger win total.
- 56-16
- 1701 (better)
- Power IndexUFCalendar's strength rating, built from every pro fight: beating strong opponents raises it, losing lowers it. The best in the UFC are around 2000.
- 1682
- –
- Last 5 opp. Power IndexAverage Power Index of their last 5 opponents. Higher means tougher competition.
- 1734
- 4.34 (better)
- Strikes landed/minSignificant strikes landed per minute of fight time.
- 3.16
- 3.86
- Strikes absorbed/minSignificant strikes taken per minute of fight time. Lower is better.
- 2.72 (better)
- 55%
- Striking accuracyShare of significant strikes thrown that land.
- 61% (better)
- 32%
- Striking defenseShare of opponents' significant strikes that miss.
- 53% (better)
- 0.00
- Takedowns/15 minTakedowns landed per 15 minutes of fight time.
- 2.81
- 33%
- Takedown defenseShare of opponents' takedown attempts they stop.
- 88% (better)
- 0.00
- Sub attempts/15 minSubmission attempts per 15 minutes of fight time.
- 0.50
Scouting Reports
How each fighter wins, how they're trending, and their style.
Gabriel Lorenço
- L
- W
- W
- W
- W
Won 4 of last 5
Last 5, newest first.
- How They Win
- Lorenço is a finisher. His wins come by 6 KO/TKO, 1 submission and 1 decision, an 88% finish rate. When he wins, it's usually lights out, with the judges rarely getting involved.
- Recent Form
- Most recent, he lost to Thomas Petersen (11-5-0) by KO/TKO in round 3. Before that he beat Charlie Cleveland (6-2-0) by round 1 KO, then Bruno de Jesus by KO/TKO.
- Style
- Orthodox with a 76" reach, Lorenço lands 4.34 significant strikes a minute at 55% accuracy but absorbs 3.86 and defends only 32%. He has attempted no takedowns or submissions in the UFC, and his takedown defense is 33%.
Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.
Thomas Petersen
- W
- L
- W
- L
- W
Back in the win column
Last 5, newest first.
- How They Win
- Petersen is a finisher, with 8 KO/TKO wins, 1 submission and 3 decisions, a 75% finish rate. When he wins, it's usually by putting people to sleep on the feet.
- Recent Form
- Gabriel Lorenço (8-1-0), win, KO/TKO in round 3. Valter Walker (16-1-0), loss, submission in round 1. Guilherme Pat (6-2-0), win, majority decision after three rounds.
- Style
- Southpaw who lands 3.16 significant strikes a minute at 61% accuracy and absorbs 2.72, with 53% striking defense. He attempts 2.81 takedowns per 15 minutes and stops 88% of opponents' takedowns.
Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.
Line Movement
Chance the consensus line (average of 17 sportsbooks) implies, as of Nov 8, 12:50 AM EST.
They've Met Before
- Gabriel LorençoLoss, KO/TKO, R3 · Nov 2026