Menu
OverlyPaid
Show Sosa Some LoveLeave a Tip

Tips are voluntary and don't unlock picks.

Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid

UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs Walker · Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 PM EST

Prelims · FeatherweightFeatherweight: 136 to 145 lb (62 to 66 kg). Fighters weigh in the day before the fight and must make the limit. In non-title fights they get 1 lb of leeway; miss it and they usually forfeit part of their purse.

ResultOllie Schmid won · Decision - Unanimous · R3 · 5:00

Keiichiro Nakamura

Japan

8-2-0

-359

75% by the odds · Favorite

Opened -358

Ollie Schmid

“The Hungarian Stallion”

New Zealand

5-3-0

+284

25% by the odds · Underdog

Opened +280

Tale of the Tape

27
Age
25
5'8"
Height
6'0"
70"
ReachArm span, fingertip to fingertip.
71"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
EXFIGHT
Gym
City Kickboxing
88% (better)
Finish rateShare of pro wins that came by knockout or submission instead of the judges.
60%
1742 (better)
Power IndexUFCalendar's strength rating, built from every pro fight: beating strong opponents raises it, losing lowers it. The best in the UFC are around 2000.
1557
3.26 (better)
Strikes landed/minSignificant strikes landed per minute of fight time.
3.23
5.72 (better)
Strikes absorbed/minSignificant strikes taken per minute of fight time. Lower is better.
7.90
38% (better)
Striking accuracyShare of significant strikes thrown that land.
30%
61% (better)
Striking defenseShare of opponents' significant strikes that miss.
45%
0.00
Takedowns/15 minTakedowns landed per 15 minutes of fight time.
0.00
0.00
Sub attempts/15 minSubmission attempts per 15 minutes of fight time.
0.00

Scouting Reports

How each fighter wins, how they're trending, and their style.

Keiichiro Nakamura

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W

Won 4 of last 5

Last 5, newest first.

How They Win
Nakamura is a finisher. His wins come from 7 KO/TKO, 0 submissions and 1 decision, a finish rate of 88%. He puts people to sleep and rarely needs the scorecards.
Recent Form
Most recent, Nakamura lost a unanimous decision to Ollie Schmid (4-3-0). Before that he stopped Sebastian Szalay in round 3, beat Kaiwen Li by unanimous decision, and took out Eoh Jin Park with a round 2 TKO.
Style
Southpaw, 5'8" with a 70" reach. He lands 3.26 significant strikes a minute at 38% accuracy, but absorbs 5.72 a minute and defends 61%. No takedown attempts and no submission attempts in the UFC.

Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.

Ollie Schmid

  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W

Back in the win column

Last 5, newest first.

How They Win
Schmid's wins come by KO/TKO 3 times, submission 0, and decision 2, for a 60% finish rate. When he ends it, he puts people to sleep on the feet.
Recent Form
Most recent, Schmid beat Keiichiro Nakamura (8-1-0) by unanimous decision in round 3. Before that, he lost to Marwan Rahiki (9-1-0) by first-round KO/TKO. Before that, he beat Jeffrey Mesa by first-round TKO.
Style
Orthodox at 6'0" with a 71" reach. Lands 3.23 significant strikes a minute at 30% accuracy and absorbs 7.9 a minute, defending 45%. No takedown or submission attempts in the UFC stats.

Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.

Line Movement

Chance the consensus line (average of 18 sportsbooks) implies, as of Nov 8, 12:50 AM EST.

0%50%100%Nov 1Nov 8
Keiichiro Nakamura-358 → -359 · 75% → 75%Ollie Schmid+280 → +284 · 25% → 25%

They've Met Before

Keiichiro Nakamura's pageOllie Schmid's pageFull card