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Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott · Sat, Oct 17, 5:00 PM EDT
Prelims · Women's BantamweightWomen's Bantamweight: 126 to 135 lb (57 to 61 kg). Fighters weigh in the day before the fight and must make the limit. In non-title fights they get 1 lb of leeway; miss it and they usually forfeit part of their purse.
ResultChelsea Chandler won · Submission · R1 · 4:52
“Scare”
Canada
8-4-0
79% by the odds · Favorite
Opened -238
#15 Women's Bantamweight
United States
8-4-0
21% by the odds · Underdog
Opened +195
Tale of the Tape
- 35
- Age
- 35
- 5'9"
- Height
- 5'8"
- 68"
- ReachArm span, fingertip to fingertip.
- 68"
- Orthodox
- Stance
- Southpaw
- Alavanca
- Gym
- Cesar Gracie Jiu-Jitsu
- 78% (better)
- Finish rateShare of pro wins that came by knockout or submission instead of the judges.
- 63%
- –
- StreakCurrent run of straight wins or losses (no contests skipped).
- 2 wins
- 36-13 (better)
- Last 5 opp. recordThe current pro records of their last 5 opponents, added together. Tougher opponents mean a bigger win total.
- 66-32
- 1655
- Power IndexUFCalendar's strength rating, built from every pro fight: beating strong opponents raises it, losing lowers it. The best in the UFC are around 2000.
- 1697 (better)
- 1684 (better)
- Last 5 opp. Power IndexAverage Power Index of their last 5 opponents. Higher means tougher competition.
- 1648
- 4.07 (better)
- Strikes landed/minSignificant strikes landed per minute of fight time.
- 3.43
- 2.17 (better)
- Strikes absorbed/minSignificant strikes taken per minute of fight time. Lower is better.
- 4.11
- 47% (better)
- Striking accuracyShare of significant strikes thrown that land.
- 45%
- 59% (better)
- Striking defenseShare of opponents' significant strikes that miss.
- 42%
- 2.13
- Takedowns/15 minTakedowns landed per 15 minutes of fight time.
- 0.75
- 69% (better)
- Takedown defenseShare of opponents' takedown attempts they stop.
- 36%
- 0.30
- Sub attempts/15 minSubmission attempts per 15 minutes of fight time.
- 0.50
Scouting Reports
How each fighter wins, how they're trending, and their style.
Melissa Croden
- L
- W
- W
- L
- W
Won 3 of last 5
Last 5, newest first.
- How They Win
- Croden is a knockout artist: 6 KO/TKO wins, 1 submission and 2 decisions, good for a 78% finish rate. She ends fights early far more often than she goes to the scorecards.
- Recent Form
- Most recent, Croden lost to Chelsea Chandler (7-4-0) by first-round submission. Before that, she beat Daria Zhelezniakova (10-3-0) by unanimous decision, then lost to Luana Santos (11-2-0) by unanimous decision.
- Style
- Orthodox, 5'9" with a 68" reach. She lands 4.27 significant strikes a minute at 47% accuracy and absorbs 2.13. Defense is 59%. She attempts 2.02 takedowns per 15 minutes, landing 50%, and stops 67% against her.
Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.
Chelsea Chandler
- W
- W
- L
- L
- W
Bounced back: won 2 straight
Last 5, newest first.
- How They Win
- Chandler's finishes come from 2 KO/TKO wins and 2 submissions, with 3 decisions, good for a 57% finish rate. She ends fights early more often than she goes to the cards.
- Recent Form
- Chandler submitted Melissa Croden (8-3-0) in round 1, then made Priscila Cachoeira (13-9-0) tap in round 1. Before that, she lost to Joselyne Edwards (18-6-0) by round 1 KO/TKO.
- Style
- Chandler is a southpaw who lands 3.52 significant strikes a minute at 45% accuracy, but absorbs 4.27 and defends only 40%. She hits 0.81 takedowns per 15 minutes at 60%, with 25% takedown defense.
Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.
Line Movement
Chance the DraftKings moneyline implies, as of Oct 17, 6:00 PM EDT.
They've Met Before
- Melissa CrodenLoss, Submission, R1 · Oct 2026