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Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan · Sat, Oct 10, 5:00 PM EDT

Main Event · MiddleweightMiddleweight: 171 to 185 lb (78 to 84 kg). Fighters weigh in the day before the fight and must make the limit. In non-title fights they get 1 lb of leeway; miss it and they usually forfeit part of their purse.

5 rounds

ResultBrendan Allen won · Submission · R5 · 2:46

Brendan Allen

“All In”

#4 Middleweight

United States

28-7-0

-115

51% by the odds · Favorite

Opened -145

Christian Leroy Duncan

“CLD”

#10 Middleweight

15-3-0

-105

49% by the odds · Underdog

Opened +120

Tale of the Tape

30
Age
31
6'2"
Height
6'2"
75"
ReachArm span, fingertip to fingertip.
79"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Kill Cliff FC
Gym
Range MMA Academy
68%
Finish rateShare of pro wins that came by knockout or submission instead of the judges.
73% (better)
4 wins
StreakCurrent run of straight wins or losses (no contests skipped).
–
88-28-1 (better)
Last 5 opp. recordThe current pro records of their last 5 opponents, added together. Tougher opponents mean a bigger win total.
93-35
1928 (better)
Power IndexUFCalendar's strength rating, built from every pro fight: beating strong opponents raises it, losing lowers it. The best in the UFC are around 2000.
1882
1814 (better)
Last 5 opp. Power IndexAverage Power Index of their last 5 opponents. Higher means tougher competition.
1809
3.61
Strikes landed/minSignificant strikes landed per minute of fight time.
4.49 (better)
3.86
Strikes absorbed/minSignificant strikes taken per minute of fight time. Lower is better.
2.34 (better)
52%
Striking accuracyShare of significant strikes thrown that land.
58% (better)
47%
Striking defenseShare of opponents' significant strikes that miss.
54% (better)
1.63
Takedowns/15 minTakedowns landed per 15 minutes of fight time.
0.35
58%
Takedown defenseShare of opponents' takedown attempts they stop.
59% (better)
1.10
Sub attempts/15 minSubmission attempts per 15 minutes of fight time.
0.00

Scouting Reports

How each fighter wins, how they're trending, and their style.

Brendan Allen

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L

On a 4-fight win streak

Last 5, newest first.

How They Win
Allen is a finisher who taps people. Submissions lead with 9, then 7 decisions and 6 KO/TKO wins, good for a 54% finish rate. He hunts the choke more than the knockout.
Recent Form
Most recent, Allen submitted Christian Leroy Duncan (15-3-0) in round 5. Before that, he beat Edmen Shahbazyan (17-6-0) by unanimous decision, then stopped Reinier de Ridder (22-4-0) with a round 4 KO/TKO.
Style
Orthodox with a 75" reach. Allen lands 3.61 significant strikes a minute at 52% accuracy but absorbs 3.86, defending 47%. He attempts 1.63 takedowns per 15 minutes, landing 40%, and defends 58% of takedowns.

Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.

Christian Leroy Duncan

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W

Won 4 of last 5

Last 5, newest first.

How They Win
Duncan ends fights early. His wins come 10 by KO/TKO, 1 by submission and 4 by decision, a 73% finish rate. He puts people to sleep far more often than he goes to the scorecards.
Recent Form
Brendan Allen (28-7-0) handed Duncan a loss, submitting him in round 5. Before that he beat Jared Cannonier (18-10-0) by unanimous decision, and Roman Dolidze (15-6-0) by unanimous decision.
Style
Duncan fights from a switch stance with a 79" reach. He lands 4.49 significant strikes a minute at 58% accuracy and absorbs 2.34. Takedown defense is 59%, and he rarely shoots for takedowns himself.

Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.

Line Movement

Chance the consensus line (average of 18 sportsbooks) implies, as of Oct 11, 12:55 AM EDT.

0%50%100%Oct 2Oct 11
Brendan Allen-145 → -115 · 57% → 51%Christian Leroy Duncan+120 → -105 · 43% → 49%

They've Met Before

Common Opponents

Fighters both have faced, from pro MMA records.

Brendan Allen's pageChristian Leroy Duncan's pageFull card