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Evan Elder vs Samuel Sanches

Polymarket UFC 334: Gane vs Hokit · Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM EST

Prelims · LightweightLightweight: 146 to 155 lb (66 to 70 kg). Fighters weigh in the day before the fight and must make the limit. In non-title fights they get 1 lb of leeway; miss it and they usually forfeit part of their purse.

Evan Elder

“The Phenom”

United States

10-2-0

-101

48% by the odds · Underdog

Samuel Sanches

“The Prodigy”

Brazil

11-1-0

-121

52% by the odds · Favorite

Tale of the Tape

29
Age
23
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"
ReachArm span, fingertip to fingertip.
74"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Kill Cliff FC
Gym
Galpao Da Luta
60%
Finish rateShare of pro wins that came by knockout or submission instead of the judges.
82% (better)
3 wins
StreakCurrent run of straight wins or losses (no contests skipped).
8 wins
56-25-2
Last 5 opp. recordThe current pro records of their last 5 opponents, added together. Tougher opponents mean a bigger win total.
–
1719 (better)
Power IndexUFCalendar's strength rating, built from every pro fight: beating strong opponents raises it, losing lowers it. The best in the UFC are around 2000.
1713
1657
Last 5 opp. Power IndexAverage Power Index of their last 5 opponents. Higher means tougher competition.
–
5.66
Strikes landed/minSignificant strikes landed per minute of fight time.
6.00 (better)
4.94
Strikes absorbed/minSignificant strikes taken per minute of fight time. Lower is better.
0.00 (better)
51%
Striking accuracyShare of significant strikes thrown that land.
75% (better)
57%
Striking defenseShare of opponents' significant strikes that miss.
100% (better)
0.48
Takedowns/15 minTakedowns landed per 15 minutes of fight time.
0.00
40%
Takedown defenseShare of opponents' takedown attempts they stop.
100% (better)
0.50
Sub attempts/15 minSubmission attempts per 15 minutes of fight time.
0.00

Scouting Reports

How each fighter wins, how they're trending, and their style.

Evan Elder

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L

On a 3-fight win streak

Last 5, newest first.

How They Win
Elder's work is split evenly across KO/TKO (4), decisions (4), and submissions (2). That adds up to a 60% finish rate, so he ends fights early more often than he goes to the cards.
Recent Form
Most recent, Gauge Young (11-4-0): win by unanimous decision. Before that, Darrius Flowers (13-9-1): win by second-round submission. Before that, Genaro Valdez (10-3-0): win by unanimous decision.
Style
Switch-stance volume striker, landing 5.66 significant strikes a minute at 51% accuracy while absorbing 4.94. He defends 57% of strikes. Wrestling is a minor part of his game: 0.48 takedowns per 15 minutes, 40% takedown defense.

Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.

Samuel Sanches

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W

On a 5-fight win streak

Last 5, newest first.

How They Win
Sanches ends fights early. His finishes include 8 KO/TKO wins and 1 submission, with 2 decisions, for an 82% finish rate. He puts people to sleep far more often than he lives on the scorecards.
Recent Form
Sanches knocked out Chasen Blair (7-4-0) in round 1, stopped Evaldo Santos with a round 1 TKO, then beat Severino Neto by TKO in round 2.
Style
Orthodox striker who lands 6 significant strikes a minute at 75% accuracy. The listed numbers show no strikes absorbed and 100% defense, and no takedown attempts, with 100% takedown defense. Reach is 74".

Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.

Line Movement

Chance the consensus line (average of 18 sportsbooks) implies, as of Nov 11, 12:50 PM EST.

0%50%100%Nov 2Nov 11
Evan Elder-114 → -101 · 51% → 48%Samuel Sanches-109 → -121 · 49% → 52%

Evan Elder's pageSamuel Sanches's pageFull card