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Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan · Sat, Oct 10, 5:00 PM EDT
Co-Main · LightweightLightweight: 146 to 155 lb (66 to 70 kg). Fighters weigh in the day before the fight and must make the limit. In non-title fights they get 1 lb of leeway; miss it and they usually forfeit part of their purse.
ResultJai Herbert won · Decision - Unanimous · R3 · 5:00
“Jaguar”
Brazil
11-4-0
63% by the odds · Favorite
Opened -186
“Black Country Banger”
15-6-1
37% by the odds · Underdog
Opened +153
Tale of the Tape
- 25
- Age
- 38
- 5'10"
- Height
- 6'1"
- 69"
- ReachArm span, fingertip to fingertip.
- 77"
- Orthodox
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Xtreme Couture
- Gym
- Renegade Jiu-Jitsu
- 64%
- Finish rateShare of pro wins that came by knockout or submission instead of the judges.
- 73% (better)
- –
- StreakCurrent run of straight wins or losses (no contests skipped).
- 2 wins
- 47-22-3
- Last 5 opp. recordThe current pro records of their last 5 opponents, added together. Tougher opponents mean a bigger win total.
- 75-25-1 (better)
- 1720
- Power IndexUFCalendar's strength rating, built from every pro fight: beating strong opponents raises it, losing lowers it. The best in the UFC are around 2000.
- 1732 (better)
- 1687
- Last 5 opp. Power IndexAverage Power Index of their last 5 opponents. Higher means tougher competition.
- 1706 (better)
- 2.22
- Strikes landed/minSignificant strikes landed per minute of fight time.
- 3.19 (better)
- 3.05 (better)
- Strikes absorbed/minSignificant strikes taken per minute of fight time. Lower is better.
- 3.34
- 43% (better)
- Striking accuracyShare of significant strikes thrown that land.
- 42%
- 67% (better)
- Striking defenseShare of opponents' significant strikes that miss.
- 53%
- 4.16
- Takedowns/15 minTakedowns landed per 15 minutes of fight time.
- 0.42
- 0.60
- Sub attempts/15 minSubmission attempts per 15 minutes of fight time.
- 0.00
Scouting Reports
How each fighter wins, how they're trending, and their style.
Matheus Camilo
- L
- W
- W
- L
- W
Won 3 of last 5
Last 5, newest first.
- How They Win
- Camilo finishes 64% of the time: 5 KO/TKO wins, 2 submissions and 4 decisions. His power puts people to sleep more than anything else, with the mat game as a secondary route.
- Recent Form
- Most recent, Jai Herbert (15-6-1), a loss by unanimous decision. Before that, Nazim Sadykhov (11-3-1), a win by round 1 KO/TKO. Before that, Viacheslav Borshchev (8-8-1), a win by unanimous decision.
- Style
- Orthodox at 5'10" with a 69" reach. Lands 2.22 significant strikes a minute at 43% accuracy, absorbs 3.05 and defends 67%. Shoots 4.16 takedowns per 15 minutes, landing 54%, so wrestling drives his offense.
Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.
Jai Herbert
- W
- W
- L
- W
- L
Bounced back: won 2 straight
Last 5, newest first.
- How They Win
- Herbert is a finisher. Ten KO/TKO wins, one submission and four decisions, for a 73% finish rate. Most of his wins come from lights out, with the scorecards as his second route.
- Recent Form
- Most recent, he beat Matheus Camilo by unanimous decision. Before that, he stopped Mandel Nallo (14-4-0) with a round 1 KO/TKO. Before that, he lost a split decision to Chris Padilla (18-6-1).
- Style
- Orthodox with a 77" reach. He lands 3.19 significant strikes a minute at 42% accuracy and absorbs 3.34, defending 53%. He rarely wrestles: 0.42 takedowns per 15 minutes, 67% takedown defense, no submission attempts.
Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.
Line Movement
Chance the consensus line (average of 18 sportsbooks) implies, as of Oct 11, 12:55 AM EDT.
They've Met Before
- Matheus CamiloLoss, Decision · Oct 2026