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Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr

UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott · Sat, Oct 17, 5:00 PM EDT

Main Card · LightweightLightweight: 146 to 155 lb (66 to 70 kg). Fighters weigh in the day before the fight and must make the limit. In non-title fights they get 1 lb of leeway; miss it and they usually forfeit part of their purse.

ResultMandel Nallo won · KO/TKO · R2 · 0:47

Mandel Nallo

“Mango”

Canada

15-4-0

-285

71% by the odds · Favorite

Opened -278

Nate Landwehr

“The Train”

United States

18-9-0

+230

29% by the odds · Underdog

Opened +225

Tale of the Tape

37
Age
38
6'0"
Height
5'9"
75"
ReachArm span, fingertip to fingertip.
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
TriStar Gym
Gym
MMA Masters
100% (better)
Finish rateShare of pro wins that came by knockout or submission instead of the judges.
61%
–
StreakCurrent run of straight wins or losses (no contests skipped).
5 losses
46-20-2
Last 5 opp. recordThe current pro records of their last 5 opponents, added together. Tougher opponents mean a bigger win total.
83-36-2 (better)
1735 (better)
Power IndexUFCalendar's strength rating, built from every pro fight: beating strong opponents raises it, losing lowers it. The best in the UFC are around 2000.
1727
1710 (better)
Last 5 opp. Power IndexAverage Power Index of their last 5 opponents. Higher means tougher competition.
1701
9.16 (better)
Strikes landed/minSignificant strikes landed per minute of fight time.
5.38
3.61 (better)
Strikes absorbed/minSignificant strikes taken per minute of fight time. Lower is better.
6.18
58% (better)
Striking accuracyShare of significant strikes thrown that land.
45%
62% (better)
Striking defenseShare of opponents' significant strikes that miss.
51%
1.32
Takedowns/15 minTakedowns landed per 15 minutes of fight time.
0.69
100% (better)
Takedown defenseShare of opponents' takedown attempts they stop.
70%
1.30
Sub attempts/15 minSubmission attempts per 15 minutes of fight time.
0.70

Scouting Reports

How each fighter wins, how they're trending, and their style.

Mandel Nallo

  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W

Back in the win column

Last 5, newest first.

How They Win
Nallo is a pure finisher. His wins come by 8 KO/TKO and 6 submissions, with zero decisions, for a 100% finish rate. He puts people to sleep and also makes them tap.
Recent Form
Most recent, he stopped Nate Landwehr (18-8-0) by KO/TKO in round 2. Before that, Jai Herbert (15-6-1) beat him by KO/TKO in round 1. Before that, he knocked out Samuel Silva (13-6-1) in round 1.
Style
Orthodox volume striker, landing 8.26 significant strikes a minute at 58% accuracy while absorbing 5.03. He defends 54% of strikes. He takes no shots, with 0 takedowns per 15, and has stopped 100% of takedown attempts against him.

Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.

Nate Landwehr

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L

Lost 5 straight

Last 5, newest first.

How They Win
Landwehr is a finisher: 9 wins by KO/TKO, 2 by submission and 7 by decision, a 61% finish rate. The knockout power is what stands out, and he puts people to sleep more than he taps them.
Recent Form
Mandel Nallo (14-4-0), loss, stopped by KO/TKO in round 2. Cub Swanson (31-14-0), loss, KO/TKO in round 1. Morgan Charriere (21-13-1), loss, KO/TKO in round 3.
Style
Orthodox at 5'9" with a 72" reach, Landwehr is a volume striker, landing 5.55 significant strikes a minute at 46% accuracy. He absorbs 5.96 a minute and defends 51%. Takedown defense is 72%, with 0.73 takedowns per 15 minutes.

Written by AI from stored stats. Not a prediction.

Line Movement

Chance the DraftKings moneyline implies, as of Oct 17, 8:00 PM EDT.

0%50%100%Oct 10Oct 17
Mandel Nallo-278 → -285 · 71% → 71%Nate Landwehr+225 → +230 · 29% → 29%

They've Met Before

Mandel Nallo's pageNate Landwehr's pageFull card